MERS Mounts Up 2013

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MERS Mounts Up 2013

Post by Admin on Sun Sep 15, 2013 8:16 am

2013 2013 2013 <div class="post-header"></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">[I'll adjust my total to reflect Flu Tracker's.&nbsp; I have way too much going on in my life right now, to keep correct count of MERS cases.]</span></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">September 11, 2013</span></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">In a strange coincidence of numerals, the 4th Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) report in a row from the Ministry of Health (MOH) of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) contains very little on <b>4 cases</b>.&nbsp;</span><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">I use below, the FluTracker's (FT) case numbering scheme because frankly, they produce the only numbering schemes for tracking cases of new or returning infectious&nbsp;disease&nbsp;that are&nbsp;<b>systematic,&nbsp;reliable and worthy of our trust</b>.&nbsp;</span><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">It&nbsp;should&nbsp;form the basis for a worldwide numbering system for infectious disease outbreaks because it is also freely and publicly&nbsp;available&nbsp;such that any potential manuscript author can easily&nbsp;check&nbsp;it before&nbsp;submitting a research paper and then we could all know which case is being discussed. And by "we" I mean fellow&nbsp;researchers, not just interested parties.&nbsp;</span><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">The KSA MOH&nbsp;could&nbsp;consider running their&nbsp;own&nbsp;table&nbsp;of data akin to that of <a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=205075" target="_blank">FluTrackers</a>, but augmented and using an adapted version of Crawford Killian's&nbsp;<a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/a-memo-to-the-saudi-minister-of-health.html" target="_blank">wishlist to the MOH</a>. Each (deidentified) case entry should include the following&nbsp;<b>headings</b>&nbsp;along&nbsp;the top row, filled out if and as they become relevant:</span><br /><ol><li>A unique, continuous identifying code specific to this emerging virus</li><li>Sex</li><li>Age</li><li>Occupation</li><li>Co-morbidities</li><li>Date of illness onset</li><li>Town of illness onset</li><li>Town of acquisition acquisition</li><li>Date of hospitalisation</li><li>Type of laboratory testing</li><li>Date of laboratory confirmation</li><li>Date of death</li><li>Date of release from hospital</li><li>Treatments/management</li><li>Town of treatment</li><li>Relationships to any other cases</li></ol><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;">Today's MERS-CoV cases are mostly asymptomatic. These cases are announced amid rumours of </span><a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=509156#post509156" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">larger case numbers</a><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;"> being tested, </span><a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=509232#post509232" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">panic in hospitals</a><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;"> over potential MERS cases,&nbsp;</span><a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/saudi-arabia-a-note-from-a-mers-hospital.html" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">frustration&nbsp;from&nbsp;within&nbsp;KSA</a><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;"> over the MOH's poor&nbsp;performance, and of the </span><a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/saudi-arabia-moh-complains-about-online-mers-rumours.html" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">KSA cracking down on healthcare workers</a><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;"> passing on rumours.</span><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">Today we have:</span><br /><br /><ol><li><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><b>FT#125:</b> 22-year old asymptomatic male, citizen of Madinha (Medina), contact of another confirmed case (we shall call him Mr/Mrs/Ms/Dr X)</span></li><li><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><b>FT#126:</b> 24-year old asymptomatic male healthcare worker in Madinha</span></li><li><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><b>FT#127:</b> 60-year old asymptomatic male citizen of Riyadh, contact of another case (also&nbsp;unknown)</span></li><li><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><b>FT#128:</b> 47-year old male citizen of&nbsp;Riyadh,&nbsp;contact&nbsp;of another unknown case, symptomatic but stable</span></li></ol><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">This&nbsp;brings the tally to&nbsp;<b>128</b> with <b>57</b> deaths (<a href="http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com.au/2013/07/new-h7n9-numbers-and-case-fatality.html" target="_blank">proportion of fatal cases</a>, PFC, at 45%). Where data for sex exists, males comprise 63% of cases and 74% of deaths in people confirmed as positive for MERS-CoV. 82% of cases come from the KSA and, if counting back to the&nbsp;retrospectively&nbsp;identified cases from Jordan, we take the first week of disease&nbsp;associated&nbsp;with MERS-CoV infection as that&nbsp;beginning&nbsp;19-Mar-=2013, then we are in 78th week of MER.&nbsp;</span></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><a href="http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com/2013/09/mers-mounts-up.html">http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com/2013/09/mers-mounts-up.html</a></span></div><br> 2013 2013 2013 <br><div class="post-header"></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">[I'll adjust my total to reflect Flu Tracker's.&nbsp; I have way too much going on in my life right now, to keep correct count of MERS cases.]</span></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">September 11, 2013</span></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">In a strange coincidence of numerals, the 4th Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) report in a row from the Ministry of Health (MOH) of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) contains very little on <b>4 cases</b>.&nbsp;</span><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">I use below, the FluTracker's (FT) case numbering scheme because frankly, they produce the only numbering schemes for tracking cases of new or returning infectious&nbsp;disease&nbsp;that are&nbsp;<b>systematic,&nbsp;reliable and worthy of our trust</b>.&nbsp;</span><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">It&nbsp;should&nbsp;form the basis for a worldwide numbering system for infectious disease outbreaks because it is also freely and publicly&nbsp;available&nbsp;such that any potential manuscript author can easily&nbsp;check&nbsp;it before&nbsp;submitting a research paper and then we could all know which case is being discussed. And by "we" I mean fellow&nbsp;researchers, not just interested parties.&nbsp;</span><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">The KSA MOH&nbsp;could&nbsp;consider running their&nbsp;own&nbsp;table&nbsp;of data akin to that of <a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=205075" target="_blank">FluTrackers</a>, but augmented and using an adapted version of Crawford Killian's&nbsp;<a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/a-memo-to-the-saudi-minister-of-health.html" target="_blank">wishlist to the MOH</a>. Each (deidentified) case entry should include the following&nbsp;<b>headings</b>&nbsp;along&nbsp;the top row, filled out if and as they become relevant:</span><br /><ol><li>A unique, continuous identifying code specific to this emerging virus</li><li>Sex</li><li>Age</li><li>Occupation</li><li>Co-morbidities</li><li>Date of illness onset</li><li>Town of illness onset</li><li>Town of acquisition acquisition</li><li>Date of hospitalisation</li><li>Type of laboratory testing</li><li>Date of laboratory confirmation</li><li>Date of death</li><li>Date of release from hospital</li><li>Treatments/management</li><li>Town of treatment</li><li>Relationships to any other cases</li></ol><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;">Today's MERS-CoV cases are mostly asymptomatic. These cases are announced amid rumours of </span><a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=509156#post509156" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">larger case numbers</a><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;"> being tested, </span><a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=509232#post509232" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">panic in hospitals</a><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;"> over potential MERS cases,&nbsp;</span><a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/saudi-arabia-a-note-from-a-mers-hospital.html" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">frustration&nbsp;from&nbsp;within&nbsp;KSA</a><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;"> over the MOH's poor&nbsp;performance, and of the </span><a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/saudi-arabia-moh-complains-about-online-mers-rumours.html" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">KSA cracking down on healthcare workers</a><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;"> passing on rumours.</span><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">Today we have:</span><br /><br /><ol><li><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><b>FT#125:</b> 22-year old asymptomatic male, citizen of Madinha (Medina), contact of another confirmed case (we shall call him Mr/Mrs/Ms/Dr X)</span></li><li><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><b>FT#126:</b> 24-year old asymptomatic male healthcare worker in Madinha</span></li><li><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><b>FT#127:</b> 60-year old asymptomatic male citizen of Riyadh, contact of another case (also&nbsp;unknown)</span></li><li><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><b>FT#128:</b> 47-year old male citizen of&nbsp;Riyadh,&nbsp;contact&nbsp;of another unknown case, symptomatic but stable</span></li></ol><br /><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">This&nbsp;brings the tally to&nbsp;<b>128</b> with <b>57</b> deaths (<a href="http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com.au/2013/07/new-h7n9-numbers-and-case-fatality.html" target="_blank">proportion of fatal cases</a>, PFC, at 45%). Where data for sex exists, males comprise 63% of cases and 74% of deaths in people confirmed as positive for MERS-CoV. 82% of cases come from the KSA and, if counting back to the&nbsp;retrospectively&nbsp;identified cases from Jordan, we take the first week of disease&nbsp;associated&nbsp;with MERS-CoV infection as that&nbsp;beginning&nbsp;19-Mar-=2013, then we are in 78th week of MER.&nbsp;</span></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;"><a href="http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com/2013/09/mers-mounts-up.html">http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com/2013/09/mers-mounts-up.html</a></span></div><br>2013 2013 2013 <br> <a href="http://www.matrixar.com/" title="Matrix ">المصفوفة : أجمل الخلفيات والصور</a>

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